A lot of that damage was done by the running of Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson (258 yards on 28 rushes last week) and the Irish have only allowed an average of 3.5 yards per rush to non quarterbacks this season and Michigan State’s Kirk Cousins is not a running quarterback. I still think Michigan State will do some damage on the ground in this game and Cousins’ passing is better than Notre Dame’s good pass defense (5.0 yards per pass play allowed). My ratings actually favor Michigan State by only 2 points (4 points using this season’s stats only) but the Spartans apply to a 61 21 1 ATS subset of a 126 62 3 ATS statistical matchup indicator that has worked well for me over the years..

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